Group BGroup
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Switzerland
Sun 21 Jun, 17:00 UTC · BMO Field, Toronto
Home win (model)
73.3%
BIH · ELO 1620
Draw (model)
21.0%
Away win (model)
5.7%
SUI · ELO 1700
Recommended pick
1–0
EV 10.33 · Rarity +50
Market Odds vs Fair Odds
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1.25
Fair: 1.27 (78.6%)
-1.7% vs mkt
Draw
6.00
Fair: 6.90 (14.5%)
-13.0% vs mkt
Switzerland
12.00
Fair: 14.55 (6.9%)
-17.5% vs mkt
Fetched: 2026-06-03T10:54:48.340Z · Source: the-odds-api
App Point Values
Home win: 3
Draw: 5
Away win: 4
Edit from the Fixtures table once the app reveals point values.
Dixon-Coles Scoreline Matrix
Row = home goals, column = away goals · Cell = probability% / EV
↓H\A→
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0
12%0.6
3%0.1
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
1
19%0.6★
8%0.4
1%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
2
19%0.6
7%0.2
1%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
3
12%0.3
4%0.1
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
4
5%0.2
2%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
5
2%0.1
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
6
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
7
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
8
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
λ_home = 1.86 · λ_away = 0.36 · Cell: probability% / EV · ★ = top EV pick
Top Scoreline Picks by EV
| Scoreline | Probability | Outcome pts | Rarity bonus | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 19.5% | 3 | +50 | 10.33 | TOP PICK |
| 2–0 | 18.8% | 3 | +50 | 9.94 | |
| 0–0 | 11.6% | 5 | +70 | 8.72 | |
| 3–0 | 11.6% | 3 | +70 | 8.47 | |
| 1–1 | 8.0% | 5 | +70 | 6.03 | |
| 2–1 | 6.8% | 3 | +70 | 4.95 | |
| 3–1 | 4.2% | 3 | +100 | 4.32 | |
| 4–0 | 5.4% | 3 | +70 | 3.93 | |
| 0–1 | 3.2% | 4 | +100 | 3.33 | |
| 5–0 | 2.0% | 3 | +100 | 2.06 |