Group AGroup
South Korea vs Czechia
Thu 11 Jun, 23:00 UTC · SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles
Home win (model)
39.1%
KOR · ELO 1685
Draw (model)
30.4%
Away win (model)
30.5%
CZE · ELO 1645
Recommended pick
1–1
EV 25.44 · Rarity +70
App Point Values
Home win: 96
Draw: 107
Away win: 91
Edit from the Fixtures table once the app reveals point values.
Dixon-Coles Scoreline Matrix
Row = home goals, column = away goals · Cell = probability% / EV
↓H\A→
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0
11%11.5
9%8.2
6%5.1
2%1.9
1%0.5
0%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
1
11%10.2
14%15.4★
7%6.5
3%2.4
1%0.6
0%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
2
8%7.3
8%8.0
5%4.9
2%1.5
0%0.4
0%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
3
3%3.1
4%3.4
2%1.8
1%0.8
0%0.2
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
4
1%1.0
1%1.1
1%0.6
0%0.2
0%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
5
0%0.2
0%0.3
0%0.1
0%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
6
0%0.1
0%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
7
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
8
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
λ_home = 1.27 · λ_away = 1.09 · Cell: probability% / EV · ★ = top EV pick
Top Scoreline Picks by EV
| Scoreline | Probability | Outcome pts | Rarity bonus | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 14.4% | 107 | +70 | 25.44 | TOP PICK |
| 0–0 | 10.7% | 107 | +70 | 18.94 | |
| 1–0 | 10.6% | 96 | +70 | 17.66 | |
| 0–1 | 9.0% | 91 | +70 | 14.45 | |
| 2–1 | 8.3% | 96 | +70 | 13.78 | |
| 2–0 | 7.6% | 96 | +70 | 12.60 | |
| 1–2 | 7.1% | 91 | +70 | 11.50 | |
| 2–2 | 4.5% | 107 | +100 | 9.40 | |
| 0–2 | 5.6% | 91 | +70 | 9.05 | |
| 3–1 | 3.5% | 96 | +100 | 6.89 |