Group EGroup
Ivory Coast vs Curaçao
Tue 23 Jun, 17:00 UTC · AT&T Stadium, Dallas
Home win (model)
70.5%
CIV · ELO 1643
Draw (model)
21.7%
Away win (model)
7.9%
CUW · ELO 1495
Recommended pick
1–0
EV 8.78 · Rarity +50
Market Odds vs Fair Odds
Ivory Coast
2.15
Fair: 2.23 (44.8%)
-3.6% vs mkt
Draw
3.25
Fair: 3.44 (29.1%)
-5.5% vs mkt
Curaçao
3.60
Fair: 3.83 (26.1%)
-6.0% vs mkt
Fetched: 2026-06-03T10:54:48.340Z · Source: the-odds-api
App Point Values
Home win: 3
Draw: 5
Away win: 4
Edit from the Fixtures table once the app reveals point values.
Dixon-Coles Scoreline Matrix
Row = home goals, column = away goals · Cell = probability% / EV
↓H\A→
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0
10%0.5★
4%0.1
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
1
17%0.5
9%0.5
2%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
2
17%0.5
8%0.2
2%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
3
10%0.3
5%0.2
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
4
5%0.1
2%0.1
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
5
2%0.1
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
6
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
7
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
8
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
λ_home = 1.90 · λ_away = 0.49 · Cell: probability% / EV · ★ = top EV pick
Top Scoreline Picks by EV
| Scoreline | Probability | Outcome pts | Rarity bonus | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 16.6% | 3 | +50 | 8.78 | TOP PICK |
| 2–0 | 16.5% | 3 | +50 | 8.76 | |
| 3–0 | 10.4% | 3 | +70 | 7.62 | |
| 0–0 | 10.0% | 5 | +70 | 7.53 | |
| 1–1 | 9.4% | 5 | +70 | 7.06 | |
| 2–1 | 8.1% | 3 | +70 | 5.92 | |
| 4–0 | 5.0% | 3 | +100 | 5.10 | |
| 0–1 | 3.7% | 4 | +100 | 3.80 | |
| 3–1 | 5.1% | 3 | +70 | 3.74 | |
| 4–1 | 2.4% | 3 | +100 | 2.50 |