Group JGroup
Austria vs Jordan
Wed 17 Jun, 23:00 UTC · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Home win (model)
46.3%
AUT · ELO 1660
Draw (model)
29.1%
Away win (model)
24.7%
JOR · ELO 1535
Recommended pick
1–1
EV 10.34 · Rarity +70
Market Odds vs Fair Odds
Austria
2.00
Fair: 2.10 (47.6%)
-4.8% vs mkt
Draw
3.40
Fair: 3.71 (27.0%)
-8.2% vs mkt
Jordan
3.60
Fair: 3.94 (25.4%)
-8.6% vs mkt
Fetched: 2026-06-03T10:54:48.340Z · Source: the-odds-api
App Point Values
Home win: 3
Draw: 5
Away win: 4
Edit from the Fixtures table once the app reveals point values.
Dixon-Coles Scoreline Matrix
Row = home goals, column = away goals · Cell = probability% / EV
↓H\A→
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0
10%0.5
7%0.3
4%0.2
1%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
1
11%0.3
14%0.7★
6%0.2
2%0.1
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
2
9%0.3
9%0.3
4%0.2
1%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
3
4%0.1
4%0.1
2%0.1
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
4
2%0.0
2%0.0
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
5
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
6
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
7
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
8
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
λ_home = 1.44 · λ_away = 0.99 · Cell: probability% / EV · ★ = top EV pick
Top Scoreline Picks by EV
| Scoreline | Probability | Outcome pts | Rarity bonus | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.8% | 5 | +70 | 10.34 | TOP PICK |
| 1–0 | 11.4% | 3 | +70 | 8.31 | |
| 0–0 | 10.0% | 5 | +70 | 7.50 | |
| 2–0 | 9.1% | 3 | +70 | 6.66 | |
| 2–1 | 9.1% | 3 | +70 | 6.61 | |
| 0–1 | 7.4% | 4 | +70 | 5.50 | |
| 2–2 | 4.5% | 5 | +100 | 4.71 | |
| 1–2 | 6.2% | 4 | +70 | 4.60 | |
| 3–0 | 4.4% | 3 | +100 | 4.52 | |
| 3–1 | 4.4% | 3 | +100 | 4.49 |