Group JGroup
Argentina vs Jordan
Thu 02 Jul, 20:00 UTC · MetLife Stadium, New York
Home win (model)
67.5%
ARG · ELO 1943
Draw (model)
21.7%
Away win (model)
10.8%
JOR · ELO 1535
Recommended pick
2–0
EV 9.91 · Rarity +70
App Point Values
Home win: 3
Draw: 5
Away win: 4
Edit from the Fixtures table once the app reveals point values.
Dixon-Coles Scoreline Matrix
Row = home goals, column = away goals · Cell = probability% / EV
↓H\A→
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
0
8%0.4
4%0.1
2%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
1
13%0.4
10%0.5★
3%0.1
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
2
14%0.4
9%0.3
3%0.2
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
3
9%0.3
6%0.2
2%0.1
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
4
5%0.1
3%0.1
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
5
2%0.1
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
6
1%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
7
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
8
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
0%0.0
λ_home = 2.01 · λ_away = 0.69 · Cell: probability% / EV · ★ = top EV pick
Top Scoreline Picks by EV
| Scoreline | Probability | Outcome pts | Rarity bonus | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 13.6% | 3 | +70 | 9.91 | TOP PICK |
| 1–0 | 12.6% | 3 | +70 | 9.16 | |
| 1–1 | 10.2% | 5 | +70 | 7.68 | |
| 2–1 | 9.4% | 3 | +70 | 6.84 | |
| 3–0 | 9.1% | 3 | +70 | 6.65 | |
| 0–0 | 7.6% | 5 | +70 | 5.72 | |
| 4–0 | 4.6% | 3 | +100 | 4.72 | |
| 3–1 | 6.3% | 3 | +70 | 4.59 | |
| 0–1 | 3.7% | 4 | +100 | 3.84 | |
| 2–2 | 3.2% | 5 | +100 | 3.40 |